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MES / ES 日报（2026-02-25） | MES / ES Daily Analysis

MES/ES 日线与 60 分钟级别结构跟踪（中英文对照）：宽通道向下与日线 TR 区间下沿突破风险。

图表 | Chart

TradingView 图表（2026-02-25）⊕ 放大

结构判断 | Structural Read

本次分析以 ES 图表为参考，用于观察 MES 的价格行为结构。
This analysis uses the ES chart as the reference for observing MES price action structure.

  • 昨日收出大阳线，但收盘位置仍在日线 EMA20 下方。
  • Yesterday closed with a strong bull bar, but the close is still below the daily EMA20.
  • 当前更值得关注的是：市场可能已经形成至少一个 60 分钟级别的宽通道向下。
  • What matters more now is that the market may have already formed at least one 60-minute broad bear channel.
  • 如果该宽通道成立，价格后续有较大概率向下突破此前日线 TR（Trading Range） 区间底部。
  • If this broad channel is valid, price has a higher probability of later breaking below the prior daily TR (Trading Range) bottom.

交易含义（跟踪重点） | Trading Implications (What to Track)

  • 由于市场已经横盘较久，区间突破后的延续性值得重点观察。
  • Since the market has been ranging for a long time, the follow-through after a range breakout deserves close attention.
  • 若向下突破日线区间下沿并出现跟随卖盘，整体结构将更偏向下行。
  • If price breaks below the daily range bottom and gets follow-through selling, the overall structure becomes more bearish.
  • 在确认突破前，仍需警惕区间内反复与假突破。
  • Before breakout confirmation, remain alert to repeated swings and false breakouts inside the range.

后续计划 | Next Steps

本篇为简要结构判断，后续继续按日跟踪并更新。
This note is a brief structural assessment. I will continue tracking and updating it on a daily basis.

相关链接 | Related Links

MESESPrice ActionDaily AnalysisTradingView宽通道TR
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